THE power purchase agreements (PPA), which reflect the viability and attractiveness of independent owner producers (IPP), have evolved over the years. These agreements also determine the creditworthiness of the IPPs.
Rating Agency Malaysia Bhd (RAM) points out that power purchase rates have been trending downwards, from an average tariff of as high as 15.5 sen/kWh for the earlier batch of IPPs, to as low as 10-11 sen/kWh for the second generation ones. Also, the requirements imposed under the newer PPAs (in order to qualify for full capacity payments) are more onerous, thereby imposing greater operational discipline on the IPPs.
The second generation PPAs allow for the renegotiation of the PPAs In the event of an industry restructuring (something lacking in the first generation PPAs which would have triggered off several legal obstacles had the earlier planned power pooling system not been scrapped).
RAM says making room in the PPAs for future industry reforms does add an element of uncertainty to the IPPs' future credit profiles. Given these differentiations, the debt ratings of first and second generation IPPs are typically differentiated by at least one notch.
Also, in July last year, the first of the third generation PPAs was signed between Tenaga Nasional Bhd and SKS Power Sdn Bhd. SKS Power will share the cost of spare capacity (previously it was borne entirely by Tenaga) under a demand-risk sharing concept, setting a precedent for future PPAs.
While the intention is to promote greater efficiency in the allocation of resources for the power industry, RAM says these moves indicate that more risks will inevitably be transferred to IPPs, and consequently, to their financiers. |